Manifold
manifold.marketsBet on news, politics, tech, & AI with play money.
Consumer & Socialprediction-marketsplay-moneyforecastingsocial-gamingcrowdsourced-predictionspoliticstech
About
Manifold is a social prediction market platform where users can bet on questions covering news, politics, tech, and AI using play money. Anyone can create their own prediction markets and trade on existing ones. It combines the mechanics of prediction markets with social and gaming elements.
Problem
People want to aggregate crowd wisdom and make probabilistic forecasts on real-world events in a fun, low-stakes way.
For
general public interested in forecasting and prediction games
How it works
Users receive play money to start, then create or bet on prediction markets across various topics, with prices reflecting crowd-estimated probabilities.
Business model
free
Status
launched